La Nación / UK authorities congratulate Santiago Peña

In every election process, pollsters mark a critical advantage for the now-elected president over his archenemy.

The overwhelming victory of economist and Colorado Santiago Peña, in the last presidential election on April 30, has finally justified confidence in the polls, which have played a major role in the course of the electoral contest. In civil proceedings, the so-called ballot box is also perfect, whose function is focused on measuring the temperature around the preferences of voters after voting.

Opinion polls as a yardstick gave the current president-elect a wide advantage over his main opposition political opponents, Efraín Alegre, Paraguayo “Payo” Cubas, Euclides Acevedo and José from the start, and even days before Luis Chilavert’s national poll.

They also reflected that the main dispute would center on determining which of the former opposition candidates would take second place as a political force. Peña’s winnings were maintained uninterrupted for nearly 2 years and there was no disagreement over the measure, except for the Brazilian poll, called Atlas Intelligence, which maintained a notable preference for the main loser in its collection process. , Cheerful.

The credibility of the opinion poll is once again a focus of debate ahead of the general election. Considering the results, it is very healthy that faith is being restored in this fundamental tool for this elective process.

Regarding the presidential badge, pollster EcoDat, in its most recent job before April 30, gave Peña the winner with 41.4% and put Efraín in second place with 31.0%. The difference with the final result is 1.3% and 3.5% respectively, considering that Peña won by 42.7% over Alegre’s 27.5%.

Meanwhile Cuba, from the National Crusades, had 8.6%; Euclides Acevedo, of the La Nueva República movement, with 4.7%, and the independent José Luis Chilavert, with 2.6%. For blank/none votes by 2.1% and DK/Nr by 9.6%.

Meanwhile, the polling agency Grau y Asociados, in one of its polls published last April, gave the following results; Peña with 38.8%, Alegre with 22.1%, Cubas with 18.2%, None with 11.2%, Acevedo with 5.9% and Chilavert with 3.1%. Sector None/Ns/Nr, 11.2%.

The list of companies winning economists continues with Ati Snead, which produces Peña, with 42.9%; Alegre, with 31.3%; Cuba, with 11.8%; Acevedo, with 3.1%, and Chilavert, with 1.0%. While No/Ns/Nr, 9.9%.

Multitarget Company, a few weeks before the election, gave 34.9% to Peña, 20.6% to Alegre. While the voting intent for Cuba is 24.7%; Acevedo, 2%; Chilavert, 1%. Sector None/empty, 1% and Ns/Nr, 7%.

For his part, the Oima Data poll gave Peña 45% voting intent, compared to his main opponent, Alegre, with just 28%. While other applicants, Cubas managed to collect 16%; Acevedo, 2%, Chilavert, 1%, the voting sector is Blanco/none, 1% and Ns/Nr, 7%.

The Brazilian polling company Atlas Intelligence conducted an internet survey using a Brazilian format which is not a conventional data collection method in our country and assuming there is a second round of elections in Paraguay. The methodology and results drew complaints from local experts, who criticized their questionnaire for being biased in favor of Alegre, who the consultant falsely claimed began his political career in 1999 as mayor of Ciudad del Este.

Stuart Martin

"Internet trailblazer. Troublemaker. Passionate alcohol lover. Beer advocate. Zombie ninja."

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