With a wave of high-profile resignations, pressure has mounted over the last few hours on the UK Government and uncertainty over the future of UK politics. Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
With his resignation from the British government on 5 July, the finance minister, Rishi Sunakand Health, Sajid Javidpointed to Johnson’s inability to run a rule-compliant government.
Johnson has often defied political rule, it seemed only a matter of time before he would be kicked off 10 Downing Street.
While he narrowly escaped a no-confidence vote last month, granting him 12-month immunity from others, some Conservative Party lawmakers have tried to change the rules to shorten the immunity period.
Here are a few scenarios of what could happen in England if Johnson’s team continues to pull back in the next few hours:
– Johnson may decide that he has lost the support of too many members of his party and cabinet and resign. So far he has shown no sign of being willing to do this.
– Several more cabinet members could resign and ask Johnson to leave, almost certainly forcing him to resign. However, media reports suggest that other senior cabinet members, including Secretary of State Liz Truss, Secretary of Defense Ben Wallace and Secretary of Level Up Michael Gove, they will stay in place.
– Some MPs have tried to change party rules so they can hold another vote of confidence sooner than currently allowed. Elections for the members of the so-called 1922 Committee, which set the rules, will soon be held.
If Johnson leaves, what’s next for England?
If Johnson is expelled, it will be a process to find a new leader. Here’s how the process, overseen by the 1922 Committee, is likely to work out:
– Candidates running for office must be nominated by two other Conservative legislators. There may be many candidates.
– Conservative MPs then hold several rounds of voting to narrow the number of candidates. Whenever they are asked to vote for their favorite candidate in a secret ballot, and the person with the fewest votes is eliminated.
– This process is repeated until there is two candidates. Previously, voting had been done on Tuesday and Thursday.
– The final two candidates are then voted in by mail by the wider Conservative Party membership, with the winner appointed as the new leader.
– The leader of the party with a majority in the House of Commons is the de facto prime minister. They don’t have to hold an early electionbut they have the power to do it.
How quickly can this be done?
The time it takes for a leadership contest may vary, depending on how many people show up. Theresa May became leader in less than three weeks after his predecessor, David Cameron, quit in 2016 and all other competitors dropped out in the middle of the race.
Johnson faced former health minister Jeremy Hunt in the Conservative election to replace May in 2019 and took office. two months later after May announced her intention to resign.
With information from Reuters you Guardian
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