(CNN) – Two years ago, British meteorologists conducted an interesting thought experiment:What are our forecasts for 2050??

The climate crisis is driving weather extremes around the world, and temperatures in northern latitudes are especially sensitive to these changes. So meteorologists at the Met Office, Britain’s official weather forecasting agency, dive into remote climate models in summer 2020 to see what kind of temperature will be expected in about three decades.

“Not real weather forecastsaid the Met Office graphic. “They are examples of reasonable weather based on climate projections.”

Well, on Mondays and Tuesdays, the “reasonable” will come true28 years earlier.

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Simon Lee, an atmospheric scientist at Columbia University in New York, noted striking similarities between prospects for 2050 and forecasts for early next week in the UK.

“Today, the forecast for Tuesday is surprisingly nearly identical for most countriesSimon tweeted, adding in a subsequent post that “what’s to come on Tuesday gives a glimpse of the future.”

in 30 yearsthis approximation would seem fairly general.

It is estimated that temperature 10 to 15 ° C warmer than usual early next week in England. Highs could approach 40C for the first time, a prediction that has prompted forecasters to issue a “red” heat warning for the first time in history.

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To be clear, this is going to be a real hot record. The highest temperature ever measured in this country was 38.7 °C at the Cambridge Botanic Gardens in 2019.

This is also clearly a sign how fast the climate crisis is changing our time.

“We hope that we will not get to this situation,” Met Office climate change attribution scientist Nikos Christidis said in a statement. “Climate change has affected possible temperature extremes in England. A record 40C day chance in the UK could be up to 10 times more likely in the current climate than under a natural climate unaffected by human influences.”

Probability of exceeding 40 °C “increasing rapidlysaid Christid.

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It’s been more than a few awkward days. Extreme heat is one of the deadliest weather events, it’s just that we rarely see it at that time, when heatstroke and death are linked to underlying conditions such as heart or respiratory disease.

In addition, recent reports indicate that no more than 5% of households in the UK air-conditioned to help keep occupants cool.

Last summer we saw a very similar situation in the United States, when Pacific Northwest hit by days of extreme heat. Hundreds of people died in the heat wave. Officials in British Columbia said there were more than 800 “excess deaths” over the summer, deaths that were unexpected and far from the norm for that time of year.

Unlike floods or forest fires that destroy cities, the sense of urgency around the deadly heatwave isn’t all that surprisingsaid Kristie Ebi, climate and health researcher at the University of Washington, stressing that heat is a “silent killer.”

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“When it’s hot outside, it’s hot outside, so is a relatively silent killerEbi previously told CNN. “People are generally unaware and don’t think about the risks associated with these high temperatures.”

He also said that it was important to understand that climate Not like a few years ago. The climate crisis is already affecting our lives today, and will continue to hit the most vulnerable.

“We all look forward to summer to enjoy warmer temperatures, but there are people who are at risk with this higher temperature“, it said. “Because the climate is constantly changing or the temperature is higher than what we experienced when we were young, people need to pay more attention, especially to the people around them.”